What Happens Next

Iranian Regime not to fall before October

98% probability· resolves Sep 30

AMZN not to hit low $208 in September

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

Bitcoin not to dip to $57,500 in September

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

Bitcoin not to reach $100,000 in September

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

Elon Musk's net worth not to be between $600B and $700B on September 30

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

Gold (XAUUSD) not to hit $4,700 high in September

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

Gold (XAUUSD) not to hit low $4,000 in September

92% probability· resolves Oct 1

NVIDIA (NVDA) not to hit high $256 before September

98% probability· resolves Oct 1

NVIDIA (NVDA) not to hit low $184 in September

91% probability· resolves Oct 1

S&P 500 (SPY) not to hit high $820 in September

98% probability· resolves Oct 1

S&P 500 (SPY) not to hit low $700 in September

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

Silver (XAGUSD) not to hit high $70 in September

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

Silver (XAGUSD) not to hit low $56 in September

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) not to hit high $435 in September

96% probability· resolves Oct 1

Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) not to hit low $285 in September

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

HOOD not to hit a high of $145 in September

97% probability· resolves Oct 1

HOOD not to hit a low of $75 in September

99% probability· resolves Oct 1

BTC to be above $78,000 on October 4, 4PM UTC

94% probability· resolves Oct 4

ETH to be above $2,400 on October 4, 4PM UTC

95% probability· resolves Oct 4

Fed not to decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting

99% probability· resolves Oct 28

Democratic Party not to win Senate control while Republican Party retains House after 2026 midterms

99% probability· resolves Nov 3

ETH not to flip on CMC Historicals in 2026

81% probability· resolves Dec 31

Base not to TGE in 2026

87% probability· resolves Dec 31

Scottie Scheffler not to top Google’s people searches this year

99% probability· resolves Dec 31

Toy Story 5 not to top Google’s movie searches this year

99% probability· resolves Dec 31

Widow's Bay not to top Google TV searches this year

99% probability· resolves Dec 31

Bitcoin not to hit ATH before December 31 2026

93% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic to IPO before 2027

82% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

HYPE not to flip SOL in 2026

95% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

Spider-Man: Brand New Day to be the top grossing movie of 2026

95% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

Strategy not to hold over 1M BTC before 2027

92% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

The Clarity Act not to be signed into law in 2026

95% probability· resolves Jan 1, 2027

Bad Bunny to be the top artist for 2026

88% probability· resolves Feb 1, 2027

Renan Santos not to win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

99% probability· resolves Jul 1, 2027