Bitcoin Price Prediction: Has the BTC Bear Market Ended After 45 Weeks?

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Ahmed Barakat

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Ahmed Barakat

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Mar 2024

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Ahmed Barakat is a journalist and copywriter based in Georgia with a growing focus on blockchain technology, DeFi, AI, privacy, digital assets, and fintech innovation.

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September 21, 2026

Bitcoin is trading at $81,600, up by a huge 6% since the start of last week, and the number that matters for its price prediction just flipped bullish for the first time in nearly a year. After 45 straight weeks of failing to close above its 50-week moving average, BTC finally flipped it.

Bitcoin closed the last week above the 50-day MA for the first time since November 2025, following a 29% rebound over 35 days. Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn called the close an “important confirmation” that the bear phase may have run its course. The weekly close is roughly 3% above the moving average, sitting at $78,800, and nearly 24% above the 200-week MA at $65,500.

This technical confirmation has historically lined up with prior cycle bottoms. Whether this one holds depends on what happens at the resistance shelf just overhead, a level Bitcoin has already tested and failed to clear once this week.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Can BTC Hold the 50-Day MA and Push Toward $85,000?

Bitcoin’s current $81,600 print sits comfortably above both the 50 and 200-day moving averages, a structural setup technicians typically flag as early-bull-market territory rather than dead-cat bounce. Our pivot data shows layered resistance at $82,900, then $83,430–$84,775, with a stretch target near $88,162 if momentum extends.

Support has clustered around $78,845 and $77,895, with a firmer floor near $76,000–$76,700 that’s already been tested once this month. A weekly close above $82,956 confirms the breakout and opens the path toward $88,000+, consistent with Elliott Wave counts circulating in recent technical analysis.

The most likely scenario for now is to see BTC grind between $78,800 and $83,000 while the market digests the moving-average flip. However, A weekly close back below the 50-day MA at $78,800 would invalidate the signal and drag price toward the $76,000 line in the sand. Traders watching this setup should track the weekly close, not intraday noise.

Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels

A 45-week-overdue moving average flip is exactly the kind of headline that gets long-term holders nodding along, but at an $81,000 handle, Bitcoin’s percentage upside from here is a different animal than it was at $16,000. Doubling from here means a $1.6 trillion market cap addition.

That math is why traders chasing asymmetric returns are increasingly looking one layer down, toward infrastructure being built directly on top of Bitcoin’s network.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with full SVM integration. Hyper is running smart contracts at speeds it claims outpace Solana itself, while settling back to Bitcoin’s base chain for security. The presale has raised $33 million at a current token price of just $0.0136865, with staking rewards offered at a high 30% APY.

Its Decentralized Canonical Bridge aims to solve BTC’s two biggest structural gaps: near-zero programmability and sluggish, expensive transaction throughput.

Research Bitcoin Hyper directly before deciding.

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